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PHILIP J MAUSE's avatar

Very accurate and helpful insight. Taxes can serve other purposes - tariffs can provide protection to American producers; "sin" taxes (on cigarettes, alcohol, etc.) can discourage activities with social costs. The government can also impose user charges - FDIC charges on banks, fees at national parks, etc. In an economy with a very regressive income and wealth distribution, a combination of taxes and benefits can simply redistribute some of the cash flow and wealth.

PHILIP J MAUSE's avatar

I am in general agreement. A few points. I think in the early 80's and continuing down to the present day, there is an attitude that "deficits don't really matter" and inflation is a problem for the Fed to control with monetary policy (interest rates and quantitative easing or tightening). For a period of time this may have appeared to work (big deficits and low inflation) but over time the interest on the accumulated national debt starts to create a downward pressure on the value of the dollar. The other point is that the US can consume more than it produces without enormous inflation if other countries are willing to run trade surpluses with us. We have just been through this drill and I suspect even now China would be happy to continue to run a very large trade surplus with us. Another point is that a reduction in spending can have the same beneficial effects as an increase in tax revenue. Another interesting problem is suggested by an analysis of alternative measures for the government to generate net revenue. User charges are becoming much more popular at the state and local levels. Confiscation of property is popular in certain other countries and in the United States, the draft and later "selective" service system cut dollar expense by forcing young men to work in the military at below market wages. In a way it made the Vietnam War less expensive in dollar terms. When the draft was eliminated, it became more expensive to wage war - especially on the scale of 500,000 men in theater (the military was requesting an additional 200-300,00 after its "victory" in the Tet offensive). None of our subsequent adventures overseas have involved anything like these numbers. War has become more capital intensive and less labor intensive as the price of labor was allowed to be set by the market. Of course, the painfulness of taxation leads to greater scrutiny of budget expenses and if some discipline is applied to the budget, it is very likely that some wasteful spending will be eliminated. I have always thought that we should consider limiting the federal budget to growing at the same rate as nominal GDP - except in situations of recession, deflation, or extraordinary need for federal expenditures (Covid, WW2, etc.).

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